Published On: 10 August 2023

Introduction 

July brought a diverse set of economic developments worldwide, as major economies worked to address inflationary pressures. While progress is evident in some regions, certain markets, like the UK, continue to grapple with sluggish growth and high inflation. Let’s delve into the details of these global economic dynamics. 

United Kingdom (UK)
In May 2023, the UK economy contracted by a marginal 0.1%, attributed in part to the King’s Coronation bank holiday affecting output. This followed an unexpected 0.2% increase in the preceding month, reinforcing economists’ view of subdued growth for the year. Encouragingly, inflation eased from 8.7% in May to 7.9% in June, a positive step toward the government’s goal of halving inflation this year. Nevertheless, it remains notably above the Bank of England’s target of 2% and rates in other developed nations.  

The concern over persistent high inflation is partly fuelled by a record 7.3% year-on-year rise in UK wages between March and May 2023. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s meeting with US President Joe Biden in London further underscores the UK’s international ties and collaborative efforts. 

Notably, the UK car industry gained momentum in July, with Renault and Geely planning new headquarters focused on hybrid and low-emission engines. Jaguar Land Rover-owner Tata’s announcement of a massive electric car battery factory highlights strides toward sustainable transportation. While companies like Unilever report impressive profits, criticisms arise regarding rising food costs and energy bills. 

Ukraine
Amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s openness to peace talks signals a potential diplomatic shift. Pressures on Putin to renew a grain export deal for Ukraine underline economic dynamics. European solidarity is evident in Ireland’s humanitarian aid pledge. 

Europe
A heatwave in July sparked wildfires in parts of Europe, raising concerns for the tourism industry. The European Central Bank’s rate increase reflects an evolving economic landscape. Positive developments include a free trade agreement with New Zealand and SAIC Motor’s European electric vehicle factory. 

United States (US)
July heatwaves also impacted the US, and economic indicators showed a 2.4% year-on-year Q2 expansion. Inflation dipped to 3% in June, reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s strategies. Despite subdued job growth, the unemployment rate edged down. 

Elon Musk’s Twitter underwent rebranding, while competitor Meta launched Threads. Tesla recorded remarkable vehicle deliveries, but a Hollywood strike and AI concerns reflect industry challenges. 

Far East
China’s Q2 growth remains robust at 7.3%, although momentum could slow. Export challenges and elevated youth unemployment are noted. Diplomatic moves aim to improve US-China relations, while technological tensions persist. 

Japan’s economic outlook is uncertain, with inflation and export decline posing challenges. South Korea’s response to energy demand and market changes remain pivotal. 

Emerging Market
Goldman Sachs predicts India’s rise as the world’s second-largest economy by 2075. However, challenges like tech investments and gaming taxes persist. Sanction-related economic impact looms over Russia, as public sentiments and the Ukraine conflict affect stability. 

Brazil anticipates economic improvements under President Lula. Falling inflation and environmental efforts are promising indicators. 

In this intricate global economic landscape, markets exhibit diverse trajectories, challenges, and opportunities. Stay tuned for more updates on these dynamic trends. 

 If this affects you and you’d like to discuss our opinion on this fund and how it may or may not continue to fit your investment goals or risk tolerance, please call us on 01420 83517 or email info@murdochasset.co.uk

 


Investment Warning 

This article should not be construed as advice, and no investment decisions should be made without first seeking advice.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can fall as well as rise and investors may get back less than they initially invested.  

You should only invest if you are prepared to make medium to long-term commitment, i.e. for five years or longer, and are prepared to lose money. You should have adequate other reserves to meet your short-term liabilities. 

Past performance is not a guide to the future performance of any fund or investment.   

All reasonable efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the data provided here, but where information has been provided by third parties no warranties can be given. 

Murdoch Asset Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.  You should be aware that advice in relation to tax planning and trusts is not regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and are not covered by the Financial Services Compensation Scheme or the Financial Ombudsman Service. 

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